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49 forecasters
What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2024-12-14 in accuracy?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closes:Mar 13, 2023
Resolved:Mar 4, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2021
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
78 forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
51.9%
(40.1 - 62.5)
51.9%
(40.1 - 62.5)
54 forecasters
What will be the highest average score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on January 1, 2028?
42.9%
(22.7 - 78.7)
42.9%
(22.7 - 78.7)
99 forecasters