100 forecasters

Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jan 17, 2021

Closes:

Jan 20, 2025

Resolved:

Jan 21, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 17, 2021

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Sotomayor admits conservative Supreme Court colleagues frustrate her, tries to look for ‘good’ in them

New York Post•Sep 14, 2025

Has Justice Sotomayor Had it with the Supreme Court?

PJ Media•Sep 14, 2025

The Roberts Court at 20 years

American Thinker•Sep 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch