20 comments
100 forecasters
Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 17, 2021
Closes:Jan 20, 2025
Resolved:Jan 21, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 17, 2021
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, how many US Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by him on January 21, 2029?
24 forecasters
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
19 Sep 2026
(31 Dec 2025 - 30 Sep 2027)
19 Sep 2026
(31 Dec 2025 - 30 Sep 2027)
32 forecasters
Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase before 2029?
5% chance
152