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20
100
forecasters
13
20 comments
100 forecasters
Politics
1 more...
Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025?
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19 comments
781 forecasters
SCOTUS composition change in 2026?
20%
chance
8 comments
25 forecasters
Trump SCOTUS Justices by January 21, 2029
3
16.3%
4
49%
5
27.6%
6
6.1%
7 or more
1%
0 comments
22 forecasters
Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on Jan 20, 2029?
Democratic Congress
20%
Republican Congress
7%
Split Congress
13%
1 comment
6 forecasters
Proportion of Q2 2026 SCOTUS decisions issued by Democratic appointee?
Current estimate
0.283
13 comments
33 forecasters
Date Next SCOTUS Vacancy Arises
Current estimate
15 Jun 2027
11 comments
205 forecasters
Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase during Trump's second term?
2%
chance
5 comments
69 forecasters
SCOTUS Confirmations in 2025-2029?
2
40%
1
38%
3 or more
10%
0
10%
46 comments
177 forecasters
SCOTUS Changes Size before 2050
35%
chance