Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

When will the third Starship flight be?


On December 8th 2020, Starship SN8 was the first SpaceX Starship prototype to fly to a height of at least 1 km (12.5 km to be specific). SpaceX intends to one day use Starship to bring humans to Mars.

When will the third SpaceX Starship flight be?

This question resolves to the time of the third Starship flight, with the December SN8 flight considered to be the first. The criteria for "flight" are the same as in this question, notably, the Starship must reach a height of at least 1 km intact for resolution, and what counts as a Starship is outlined in this other question.

This question has a sister, asking about the 2nd Starship flight.

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.