🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%
12
21
Total Forecasters101
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
67.8
Community Peer Score
6.9
Authors:
PeterWildeford
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Verity
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
1992 Los Angeles riots
Thomas Jefferson
United States National Guard
Presidency of George H. W. Bush
President of the US
Insurrection Act
US Armed Forces
United States

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