122 comments
390 forecasters
Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolved:Jan 3, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 5, 2021
Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?
50% chance
97
Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026?
2% chance
57
Will US imports from Brazil in November 2025 exceed those of November 2024?
20% chance
69