Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
48
255
forecasters
16
48 comments
255 forecasters
Elections
3 more...
Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (48)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
23 comments
66 forecasters
Date of Next Scottish Indepedence Referendum
Current estimate
Apr 2032
24 comments
199 forecasters
Scotland leaves UK by 2030
0.7%
chance
17 comments
166 forecasters
Scotland Votes Leave in Next Union Referendum
55%
chance
10 comments
89 forecasters
Northern Irish Reunification Referendum 2030
10%
chance
7 comments
10 forecasters
When will a referendum on Quebec independence take place?
Current estimate
10 Apr 2028
64 comments
293 forecasters
UK Rejoins EU before 2030
1%
chance
0 comments
19 forecasters
Will the 2026 Alberta independence referendum pass?
10%
chance
4 comments
4 forecasters
Independent Wales by 2036/46/56
2036
1.1%
2046
5%
2056
11%