255 forecasters

Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024?

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 18, 2021

Closes:

May 2, 2024

Resolved:

May 3, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 20, 2021