Question

What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be?

Resolved:29 Nov 2019
Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction
19 Dec 2019
(05 Aug 2019 - 27 Jun 2020)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<Jan 20100.8%
Quartiles
lower 25%05 Aug 2019
median19 Dec 2019
upper 75%27 Jun 2020

What was the final result?29 Nov 2019

Community Baseline Score
126.0
Community Peer Score
28.6
Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 12, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 2, 2021