165 forecasters

Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2022?

20%chance

20%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 20% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 27, 2021

Closes:

Sep 1, 2021

Resolved:

Dec 30, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 28, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

Iran pushes for IAEA resolution as top council backs nuclear inspections

Al Jazeera•Sep 15, 2025

UN nuclear chief says agreement provides for access to all of Iran's nuclear facilities

Independent•Sep 11, 2025

Iran Issues Warning Over Nuclear Agreement

Newsweek•Sep 11, 2025

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