Question

Will the Event Horizon Telescope picture of the shadow the Sagittarius A* agree with the prediction of general relativity ?

Resolved:Ambiguous

19 comments19

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction

75%

(70% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:

DanielLBurnstein

Opened:

Feb 9, 2018

Closes:

Apr 30, 2018

Resolves:

Apr 12, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 9, 2018

Natural Sciences

Space

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

67%

Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?

99%

Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?

6.9%

Authors:

DanielLBurnstein

Opened:

Feb 9, 2018

Closes:

Apr 30, 2018

Resolves:

Apr 12, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 9, 2018

Natural Sciences

Space

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

67%

Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?

99%

Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?

6.9%