Question
When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction
Sep 2031
(03 Sep 2027 - Jan 2044)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2025 | 11.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 03 Sep 2027 | — |
| median | Sep 2031 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2044 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2050 | 18.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2056
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 2, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2056
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 2, 2021