Question

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction
Sep 2073
(Aug 2056 - 2101)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Aug 2056
medianSep 2073
upper 75%2101
Upper bound
>211918.8%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:May 23, 2021
Closes:Dec 23, 2119
Scheduled resolution:Dec 23, 2119
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2021