Question

On what date will the number of people currently hospitalized in the US due to COVID-19 first fall below 30k?

Resolved:10 May 2021
Total Forecasters66
Community Prediction
28 Mar 2021
(21 Mar 2021 - 04 Apr 2021)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%21 Mar 2021
median28 Mar 2021
upper 75%04 Apr 2021
Upper bound
>30 Dec 20210.1%

What was the final result?10 May 2021

Community Baseline Score
10.0
Community Peer Score
19.9
Authors:
Opened:Feb 7, 2021
Closes:Mar 18, 2021
Resolves:May 19, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 8, 2021