Question

When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters55

Community Prediction

Mar 2030

(Feb 2028 - Apr 2035)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>Dec 2039
community	Feb 2028	Mar 2030	Apr 2035	15.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Feb 2028	—
median	Mar 2030	—
upper 75%	Apr 2035	—
Upper bound
>220864320000%	15.5%	—

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Mar 4, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 6, 2021

Computing and Math

Grigori Perelman

Millennium Prize Problems

Clay Mathematics Institute

Poincaré conjecture

Geometry

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?

2040

Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI?

40%

Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025?

0.2%

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