155 comments

1k forecasters

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

50%chance

50%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 50% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 8, 2021

Closes:

Nov 5, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 21, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 8, 2021

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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