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156
1k
forecasters
75
156 comments
1k forecasters
Elections
2 more...
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
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161 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
61%
chance
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Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
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What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?
Current estimate
-0.644 votes
11 comments
241 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
25.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.5%
Pete Buttigieg
7.1%
Other
43.5%
4 others
5 comments
25 forecasters
US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028
1%
chance
7 comments
49 forecasters
US elects third-party/independent President
Current estimate
2079
0 comments
31 forecasters
Democrat wins 2026 gubernatorial election in these states?
Ohio
44.5%
Nevada
51%
Kansas
34%
Iowa
60%
13 others
75 comments
183 forecasters
Trump in power beyond 2028?
2.5%
chance