5 comments
35 forecasters
What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 14, 2021
Closes:Apr 13, 2021
Resolved:Feb 23, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 16, 2021
What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?
69 forecasters
Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?
47.2% chance
29
When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?
Apr 2034
(23 Feb 2030 - Sep 2038)
Apr 2034
(23 Feb 2030 - Sep 2038)
30 forecasters