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29 forecasters
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
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How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?
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Scientific Articles Published
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When will peak Deep Learning be?
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06 Dec 2029
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SOTA on ImageNet Top-1 Accuracy
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Share of AI Publications from China
Current estimate
48.2%
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What will be the total AI compute capacity on January 1, 2028?
Current estimate
105M H100 Equivalents
2 comments
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AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
63%
chance
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33 forecasters
CTs Deep Learning Revenue
41%
chance
24 comments
98 forecasters
Greatest Computation Used in AI Training