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3 comments
32 forecasters

What will the price of IGM be, on 2023-02-14, in 2019 USD?

community
476
result
280.98
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:Feb 16, 2021
Closes:Apr 14, 2021
Resolved:Feb 15, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 18, 2021
Forecasting AI Progress
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
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What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?

1691%
(346 - 10.6k)
1691%
(346 - 10.6k)
27 forecasters

What will be the sector weighting of the Technology and Communication Services Sector in the S&P 500 on January 1, 2027?

0.514%
(0.415 - >0.7)
0.514%
(0.415 - >0.7)
5 forecasters

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on the following dates?

January 10, 2028
9127
January 12, 2026
6750
23 forecasters
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