22 comments
50 forecasters
If Donald J. Trump is indicted on criminal charges before 2030, when will the first such indictment happen?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 14, 2021
Closes:Jun 30, 2021
Resolved:Apr 4, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 16, 2021
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
01 Oct 2029
(16 Nov 2027 - 18 Nov 2029)
01 Oct 2029
(16 Nov 2027 - 18 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
803
When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
31 forecasters