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When will Trump be criminally charged?


Donald Trump has a number of areas of possible criminal exposure, relating to acts committed both during his presidency and before it. He had been largely protected from indictment during his term in office, but no longer enjoys that protection.

If Donald J. Trump is indicted on criminal charges before 2030, when will the first such indictment happen?

If Trump is criminally indicted at either the federal or state level before 1/1/2030, then this question will resolve with the date of the first such indictment as reported by at least two major media outlets.

If no such indictment is reported before 1/1/2030, then the question will resolve as ambiguous.

  • Potential "major media outlets" should include the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Wall Street Journal, Fox News, CNN, and MSNBC. Other outlets (including those that don't exist in 2021) are eligible at the discretion of the moderators.
  • The relevant date is the date of filing the indictment, not the date when media reports on such a filing.
  • The special case of sealed indictments: For all we know, Trump may have already been criminally indicted by a grand jury, with the indictment still under seal. In this case the question will resolve with the date that either a) the indictment is unsealed, or b) Trump is arrested under the indictment, whichever is earlier.
Politics – US

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