composing quantitative understanding calculating accurate understanding predicting definitive understanding calculating predictive wisdom assembling intelligent wisdom mapping the future forecasting precise wisdom generating predictive understanding formulating critical predictions computing accurate estimations composing critical estimations exploring probable contingencies mapping calibrated understanding assembling definitive understanding
Rankings Categories Find Questions

Profile

username converse
formerly known as
member since November 4, 2015
bio
website {{pctrl.profile.website}}
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.profile.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

required field
usernames don't match
{{err}}

Stats

level 13 (Oracle)
predictions 1046 predictions on 813 questions (348 resolved)
comments 246 comments on 141 questions
rank 12th
authorship 14 active questions
achievements