generating calibrated predictions modeling intelligent futures mapping contingent insights delivering quantitative understanding composing quantitative forecasts mapping the future modeling quantitative estimations crowdsourcing intelligent understanding delivering predictive estimations generating intelligent forecasts mapping contingent predictions crowdsourcing critical futures formulating precise wisdom predicting predictive estimations


username converse
formerly known as
member since November 4, 2015
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 17 (Time Lord)
predictions 1360 predictions on 1040 questions (595 resolved)
comments 330 comments on 175 questions
rank 7th
authorship 23 active questions