Question
When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction
>22 Dec 2025
(>22 Dec 2025 - >22 Dec 2025)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >22 Dec 2025 | — |
| median | >22 Dec 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | >22 Dec 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >22 Dec 2025 | 77.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021