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29 forecasters
What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 14, 2021
Closes:Apr 14, 2021
Resolved:Feb 14, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 16, 2021
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
78 forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
61%
(51.8 - 72.5)
61%
(51.8 - 72.5)
47 forecasters
What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2030?
96.7%
(92.3 - 98.7)
96.7%
(92.3 - 98.7)
11 forecasters