Question

How many members will Giving What We Can have on 2029-11-15, its 20th anniversary?

Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
21.5k members
(15.1k members - 31.1k members)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<30000.8%
Quartiles
lower 25%15.1k
median21.54k
upper 75%31.09k
Upper bound
>150k1.5%
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 17, 2021
Closes:Nov 16, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Nov 16, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 19, 2021