Question
Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction
83%
(75% - 85%)
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2021
Closes:Mar 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2021
Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?
62.2%
What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?
0.756
Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?
2%
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2021
Closes:Mar 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2021
Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?
62.2%
What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?
0.756
Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?
2%