Question
In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?
Total Forecasters95
Community Prediction
1.47M years
(311 years - 1.66T years)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1 | 2.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 310.8 | — |
| median | 1.465M | — |
| upper 75% | 1.661T | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1×10¹⁶ | 16.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021
