19 comments
97 forecasters
On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%?
67%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 67% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2021
Resolved:Dec 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
1% chance
2.1k
What will Donald Trump's net approval be on November 2, 2026?
-10.1
(-13.9 - -6.52)
-10.1
(-13.9 - -6.52)
139 forecasters
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
85% chance
20