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Biden EOY approval rating to exceed 50.0%

Question

Joseph Robinette Biden is serving as the 46th and current president of the United States. According to FiveThirtyEight’s average of all polls, the majority of those polled approved of his presidency (as the time of writing this question).

Matt Yglesias, the blogger and journalist who currently writes at Slow Boring, is, as of writing this question, 65% confident that Joe Biden will end the year with an approval rating above 50%. This is up from the 60% in his December blog post (paywalled) that originally showcased this prediction.

On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%?

This question resolves positive if the FiveThirtyEight average of "all polls" for the day 2021-12-31 indicates that the proportion of those polled who approve exceeds 50%. This question resolves the earliest as of 1st of January, 2022, to account for reporting delays.

[edit note] SCH 2021-05-17: replaced This question resolves if the FiveThirtyEight average of "all polls" for the day 2021-12-31 indicates that the proportion of those polled who approve exceed the proportion of those polled who disapprove. with This question resolves positive if the FiveThirtyEight average of "all polls" for the day 2021-12-31 indicates that the proportion of those polled who approve exceeds 50%.

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