25 comments
165 forecasters
Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 27, 2018
Closes:Jun 1, 2019
Resolved:May 23, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 28, 2018
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How many Starlink satellites will be in operation on January 1, 2028?
11.7k satellites
(8043 - 17.3k)
11.7k satellites
(8043 - 17.3k)
100 forecasters
When will Starlink be spun out from SpaceX?
20 Nov 2027
(10 Jun 2026 - 17 Mar 2030)
20 Nov 2027
(10 Jun 2026 - 17 Mar 2030)
14 forecasters
Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?
4% chance
64