Question
Will the Substack Slow Boring exceed 10,000 paid subscribers in 2021?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters61
Community Prediction
99%
(97% - 99%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Peer Score
1.9
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2021
Resolves:May 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?
80.1%
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
85%
Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?
51%
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2021
Resolves:May 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?
80.1%
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
85%
Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?
51%