Question

What will be Trump's first retrospective job approval rating?

Resolved:46
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction
40.1
(34.9 - 44.7)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%34.91
median40.08
upper 75%44.73

What was the final result?46

Community Baseline Score
44.3
Community Peer Score
6.3
Authors:
Opened:Mar 1, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jul 17, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2021