63 comments
84 forecasters
Will the United States House of Representatives expel, censure, and/or reprimand a House Member before September 3, 2022?
35%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 35% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 26, 2021
Closes:Sep 7, 2021
Resolved:Nov 17, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 28, 2021
Will a federal judge be impeached by Republican Representatives in a partisan vote before January 3, 2027?
18% chance
443
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
5% chance
124
Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?
14% chance
21