Question

When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space?

Resolved:Above upper bound
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction
>31 Dec 2023
(15 Nov 2023 - >31 Dec 2023)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<01 Nov 20210.5%
Quartiles
lower 25%15 Nov 2023
median>31 Dec 2023
upper 75%>31 Dec 2023
Upper bound
>31 Dec 202364.0%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
110.5
Community Peer Score
59.2
Opened:Mar 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 15, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 12, 2021