Question
When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters19
Community Prediction
>31 Dec 2023
(15 Nov 2023 - >31 Dec 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<01 Nov 2021 | 0.5% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 15 Nov 2023 | — |
median | >31 Dec 2023 | — |
upper 75% | >31 Dec 2023 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>31 Dec 2023 | 64.0% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
110.5
Community Peer Score
59.2
Authors:
Opened:Mar 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 15, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 12, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Mar 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 15, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 12, 2021