Question
When will an open-source AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
Total Forecasters286
Community Prediction
12 Jun 2026
(14 Mar 2025 - 27 Jun 2028)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 14 Mar 2025 | — |
| median | 12 Jun 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 27 Jun 2028 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2099 | 0.7% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Mar 8, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 10, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Mar 8, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 10, 2021