🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will the world create the first Trillionaire?

26
39
Total Forecasters276
Community Prediction2031-05-18 (2027-05-08 - 2038-03-30)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
2027-05-08 04:45
2031-05-18 02:41
2038-03-30 23:01
Authors:
AdamKosloff
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Amazon (company)
Bill Gates
The World's Billionaires
Jeff Bezos
Credit Suisse
Satoshi Nakamoto

Comments

? comments