Question
When will the first autonomous, road legal, human carrying motorcycle be sold in the United States?
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
Mar 2044
(Apr 2035 - Feb 2059)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Apr 2035 | — |
| median | Mar 2044 | — |
| upper 75% | Feb 2059 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2074 | 11.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 25, 2021
Closes:Dec 26, 2074
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2075
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2021
Authors:
Opened:May 25, 2021
Closes:Dec 26, 2074
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2075
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2021
