🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will someone hold their breath for more than 30 minutes before 2025?

Resolved :No1%
16
12
Total Forecasters207
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
75.9
Community Peer Score
27.5
Authors:
AdamKosloff
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Guinness World Records
David Blaine
Funk

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