57 comments
66 forecasters
Will the Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to a case challenging the male-only draft as unconstitutional on the grounds of sex-discrimination by the end of 2021?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 17, 2021
Closes:Jul 2, 2021
Resolved:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 19, 2021
Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2026?
1% chance
52
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026?
75% chance
19
Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case that could end the constitutional right to same-sex marriage?
50% chance
8