Question
When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?
Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction
12 Dec 2024
(18 Apr 2024 - 18 Aug 2025)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <28 Mar 2021 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 18 Apr 2024 | — |
| median | 12 Dec 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | 18 Aug 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >28 Mar 2026 | 12.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 27, 2021
Closes:Apr 28, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Apr 28, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 29, 2021
Authors:
Opened:May 27, 2021
Closes:Apr 28, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Apr 28, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 29, 2021