Question

When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction2024-09-30

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<2021-03-28

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2026-03-28

...

0.2%

2024-03-09 17:29

2024-09-30 04:09

2025-04-11 12:14

6.9%

Authors:

kokotajlod

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AI Training and Compute

AI Technical Benchmarks

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-03-01

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

2.43M

Comments

? comments

Authors:

kokotajlod

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Training and Compute

AI Technical Benchmarks

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI

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When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-03-01

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

2.43M