20 comments
136 forecasters
In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?
12%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 12% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2021
Closes:Nov 2, 2024
Resolved:Jan 21, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 18, 2021
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
44 forecasters
Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of fraud?
45 forecasters
Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of foreign interference?
44 forecasters