American and European media and political institutions are drawing attention to a Russian military buildup in the Donbass and Crimea. This is after several weeks of reports from Ukrainian, Russian, and LDNR sources about a Ukrainian military buildup at the frontlines in Donbass, which had until now been little noticed in the West except in OSINT/military watcher circles. Old positions in the demarcation zones have been reoccupied by Ukrainian and NAF troops, and there are more frequent exchanges of artillery fire.
Will there be a renewal of intense fighting in the Donbass this summer?
Resolves positively if there are >250 Ukrainian military deaths in any given month within the next half year (until Oct 1, 2021, inclusive) on the territory of Donetsk and Lugansk oblasts of Ukraine.