Question

When will a performer win a 4th Oscar for Acting?

Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
05 Mar 2030
(22 Apr 2027 - Oct 2034)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%22 Apr 2027
median05 Mar 2030
upper 75%Oct 2034
Upper bound
>May 203914.0%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2021
Closes:May 4, 2039
Scheduled resolution:May 24, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 12, 2021