Question
When will a performer win a 4th Oscar for Acting?
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
12 Mar 2030
(21 Apr 2027 - Dec 2034)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 21 Apr 2027 | — |
| median | 12 Mar 2030 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2034 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >May 2039 | 14.7% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2021
Closes:May 4, 2039
Scheduled resolution:May 24, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 12, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2021
Closes:May 4, 2039
Scheduled resolution:May 24, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 12, 2021