Question
When will a performer win a 4th Oscar for Acting?
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
15 Feb 2030
(19 Apr 2027 - Sep 2034)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 19 Apr 2027 | — |
| median | 15 Feb 2030 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2034 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >May 2039 | 13.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2021
Closes:May 4, 2039
Scheduled resolution:May 24, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 12, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2021
Closes:May 4, 2039
Scheduled resolution:May 24, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 12, 2021