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AI Progress Essay Contest AI Demonstrations

Make a Prediction


Machine intelligence has been steadily progressing and this progress has been accelerating, especially with developments like GPT-3. GPT-3 has proven surprisingly capable at a wide variety of question answering tasks, but it currently is not able to make accurate Metaculus forecasts. However, as question answering and AI gets more advanced and AI supercedes humans at more and more tasks, when will AI become a better forecaster on Metaculus?