Question
When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments?
Resolved:02 Oct 2023 03:45Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
10 Aug 2027
(18 Nov 2023 - Apr 2034)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 18 Nov 2023 | — |
| median | 10 Aug 2027 | — |
| upper 75% | Apr 2034 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2046 | 8.8% | — |
What was the final result?02 Oct 2023 03:45
Community Baseline Score
40.0
Community Peer Score
27.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2021
Closes:Oct 3, 2021
Resolves:Oct 2, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2021
Closes:Oct 3, 2021
Resolves:Oct 2, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2021