Question
When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
Dec 2045
(Jul 2038 - Aug 2059)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <14 Apr 2022 | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Jul 2038 | — |
| median | Dec 2045 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2059 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2060 | 23.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2021