Question
What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?
Resolved:825.776kTotal Forecasters26
Community Prediction
701k
(658k - 752k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 657.6k | — |
| median | 700.9k | — |
| upper 75% | 752.1k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1.1M | 1.0% | — |
What was the final result?825.776k
Community Baseline Score
-17.0
Community Peer Score
16.4
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2021
Closes:May 18, 2021
Resolves:Feb 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2021
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2021
Closes:May 18, 2021
Resolves:Feb 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2021