Question
On what date will the U.S. CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC)?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters19
Community Prediction
28 Dec 2024
(24 Nov 2023 - >31 Dec 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 24 Nov 2023 | — |
| median | 28 Dec 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | >31 Dec 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2024 | 49.5% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
104.4
Community Peer Score
25.1
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2021
Closes:May 18, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2021
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2021
Closes:May 18, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2021